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accumulation showing up in mainly southeastern Upstate with freezing line south of Columbia at 7PM: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_048l.gif
dusting at best unless this thing over-produces
This post was edited by gococks31 4 years ago
FFC ( but thoughts are it will change before midnight)
AS FOR ACCUMULATIONS…THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA… GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A ROME TO CANTON TO GAINESVILLE
LINE… WHERE 2 TO 4 INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING…
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. FROM THIS
AREA SOUTHWARD TO A LA GRANGE TO MONTICELLO TO WASHINGTON LINE…
WHICH INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA… 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE… MAINLY FROM MID SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. SOUTH OF THIS AREA… EXPECT MAINLY RAIN… POSSIBLY CHANGING
OVER TO SNOW FLURRIES LATE SATURDAY EVENING WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING… GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH.
So pretty much no snow in Charleston I guess?
Flo wat that map mean and dont pay any attention to posters u been great?
Well...Im all in. Here is my call map. There is nothing really to call. I haved issued a state wide rip off watch...lol
I hope most of you remember my state wide snow call map last season. I will never be more right than that for that many counties. Even the "sweet spot". I wish this was the same storm. But it had potential but tanked.
With the Arctic Oscillation positive, that means warmer temps around Jan and Feb. So we will be limted this year. This could of been the best shot.
here is Brad Panovich snow total map
This post was edited by TaylorsCock 4 years ago
Sorry, for being lazy, but what is the forecast for Florence, SC? That's home for me. I would love a white Christmas season.
Shane I am gonna go to Haywood Mall tomorrow and ask Santa to bring you some snow. LOL
Either this website doesn't exist or is not currently available.
Things look much better than this time last night. I will say that. Midday tomorrow should be interesting.
I want to see it again to believe it.
corndog said... (original post)don't see anything. that has to be bad. lol
corndog said... (original post)
don't see anything. that has to be bad. lol
I tried to attach photo first time. Didn't work. So I made an edit to just include the link. It is there now,
corndog said... (original post)keep the faith guys. thing has been moving in a better direction!!!!!!!
keep the faith guys. thing has been moving in a better direction!!!!!!!
Yep. It really has kind of turned around.
corndog said... (original post)come on GoCocks. you shunned december a few weeks ago and had to retract that. don't shun this. you know weather. this thing can boom or bust. keep the faith homey.
come on GoCocks. you shunned december a few weeks ago and had to retract that. don't shun this. you know weather. this thing can boom or bust. keep the faith homey.
I still want to see it again. When its going good and I see a bad one I trash it. I need to see more. This thing went from great to crap now trying to come back. Looks like a nowcast.
For some reason I believe we going to get bombed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Andy Woods last few post:
my thinking has gone from snow showers to maybe some potential for 1-2″ type accumulations…. BUT that potential won’t be realized until I get more confirmation on (1) models are under-estimating precip shield which may extend further back west… (2) mid-levlel temps continue to trend colder
I’m hedging my bets that the GFS may have shown us something with better timing and a partial (but, not fully) phased two jets….
European showing something entirely different (intense storm) at this stage of the game is highly unlikely…
however, what I do think it will correct is more moisture… and we will know whether or not that is a fact in about 45 mins
GFS may have shown us something with better timing and a partial (but, not fully) phased two jets…. which meant it threw a bit more precipitation over the top into the northwestern flank of the system
this has been the most challenging storm I have ever covered… yet I feel very relaxed right now
***************NEW YEARS EVE ************************
Gococks what does he mean when he says he feels relaxed?
Andy Wood 1:39 am on December 24, 2010
**Updated for post 0z model run analysis**
0z Euro and 0z GFS both trended wetter… thought European would do that (good sign if you want at least a little bit of snow)
Importantly…. because I have seen it many times before: With a track like this along the coast, this is the stage of the game when forecast model projections usually play catchup and start “upping the ante” on moisture arrival at the time when the storm begins to strengthen.
We are closing in on 2 days of the event and we are 80% sure we have nailed down the track, but the strength of the storm is still very much in question due to the timing of the double-barreled jet stream interaction. Again, the storm is most likely going to be weak and phase late… slamming the northeast. But, there is some wiggle room with the strength and it could be under-estimated if the northern branch jet doesn’t outrun and tucks in behind the southern stream piece of energy… also if the southern branch is more closed and stronger it could mean a big difference with the moisture we see. The reason I point this out is there is still slim potential for a MAJOR BUST AND HIGH ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. But, don’t get hyped up or excited because we haven’t seen ANY projections of that from any forecast model other than the European (4 runs showing a big storm).
Still, I think our moisture limit or ceiling might be around 0.15- 0.3″ (water equivalent to 1-3″ of snow) but we’ll see…. it all depends on when that storm system strengthens… if it strengthens sooner then we would see more moisture and could expect more snow…. if it holds serve with where projections stand now…. there will be some snow in the grass and no big deal on the roads.
More of this challenging mess tomorrow…
This post was edited by randyh3253 4 years ago
uscshane said... (original post)Gococks what does he mean when he says he feels relaxed?
uscshane said... (original post)
Gococks what does he mean when he says he feels relaxed?
Comfortable in his prediction.
Charleston news is now saying a possibility of "wet flakes"
Looks like most of the "pros" have thrown in the towel and are calling it a nowcast. Just watch the sky. Not real sure why after last nights runs but that is why they are pros.
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