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Where is Flo to repeat everything we've already said?
I'm "The Arrival of Joe" and I am the #1 Proponent of Cheating: Whatever It Takes To Get Eddie Goldman to Columbia, SC
new 18z NAM puts a VERY impressive deformation band over the entire Upstate of SC at around 7pm to Midnight or so... it's also slower with the onset or changeover from rain to snow and would cause trickier conditions on roads, especially in Western NC... I'm not biting on this look for snow in the Upstate yet because the thermal profile is still marginal (around 0C to -1C as the dynamic cooling snows take place )...
can you give me a link to Andy Woods blogs?
Thats it above.
Latest: new 18z NAM puts a VERY impressive deformation band over the entire Upstate of SC at around 7pm to Midnight or so... it's also slower with the onset or changeover from rain to snow and would cause trickier conditions on roads, especially in Western NC... I'm not biting on this look for snow in the Upstate yet because the thermal profile is still marginal (around 0C to -1C as the dynamic cooling snows take place )...
on the map below, even though it looks frozen forareas east of Charlotte, those area would have the freezing line not quite into their area yet while the heaviest precip would be coming down (as mainly rain before a transition for them later in the night
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...NORTH OF A LINE FROM CARROLLTON TO ATLANTA TO JEFFERSON. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS...ONE INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE REST OF THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...SNOWFALL SHOULD BEGIN IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA BY MID THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THEN THE REST OF NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.
gococks whats the latest mean for us?
Honestly it means they really dont know. This is like the system from March years ago when no one was calling for snow and precip fell so fast even though it wasnt cold enough to snow it brought the temps down and dropped a bomb on us here.
We are on the end kind of in no mans land. They are thinking a change over from rain to snow. The good news is if you get under the snow it will fall heavy enough to accum.
Im hoping as quick as this thing is changing that the upstate can squeek in enough to get the ground covered.
Just keep watching and checking the blog for the latest.
Means your ass is going to work Friday and not acting crazy in snow like when we were young lol
NC gonna get nailed.
Kendra Kent Fox Carolina
Here's what I just sent to the newsroom at Fox. Just my latest, general thinking about snow and rain chances:
Here’s some new information with the afternoon models and discussions:
- Snow is looking more and more likely for the Upstate with each new run of models. Still not expecting accumulations anywhere around I85 or south.
- Northern Upstate could get up to an inch of snow.
- Timeframe for Upstate snow: 6-10pm as it looks now. Could begin as sleet for some areas.
- Friday morning temps will be below freezing in much of the Upstate, so whatever moisture is on the ground could freeze in spots, especially over bridges and overpasses.
- For mountains, snow begins early to mid afternoon, and ends around 10pm. 3-6 inches possible for elevations above 3,500 ft. and 1-3 possible for the valleys.
- There could be “banding” of snow, meaning that some areas could get nothing while others get significant snowfall.
- This forecast is really tough!!!
Other BIG concern will be flooding. Before the snow starts, we’ll get moderate to heavy, persistent rain. Mountains could see some dramatic river rise and Upstate spots could see minor flooding. Rain will last from 7am to around middle afternoon before the cold air arrives for the snow.
NAM trending colder still, good sign.
I just saw that. Colder farther south every run. Uscshane wake up.
This post has been edited 5 times, most recently by gococks31 15 months ago
The pic I posted above this pic was the wrong one (old). I cant get this one to load ; /
Are we looking good Joe and gococks or what looks like it might miss easley
"Never look down on anyone unless you're helping them up."
I still a skeptic : / I want it but as a kid I have not been lucky watching it rain all day then turn over to snow.
News fours John Cessaridge isnt on board. I have officially took him off my friend list. Lol!!
High resolution models do pick up on the dynamics of upper lows far better than larger scale models such as the GFS do... WXSouth forecaster Robert Gamble has 30 years experience with these types of systems
Looking over the High Resolution NAM right now.....I've never seen such dynamic cooling as this. For areas in northern and maybe central Georgia, and points north, the rain will turn to snow like a light switch tomorrow afternoon and evening. And then the actual RATE OF PRECIP is incredible. The Higher Resolution version (which by the way is probably the best model out there for situations like this) really drops the snow all along northeast Alabama, northern Georgia, eastern TN Upstate SC, and quickly develops in more of Virginia and the Carolinas by dark. For some of us, this could end up being the heaviest we've ever seen snow fall, that's if the NAM HI RES is correct. It's being rock solid steady, so I think it has merit. But we'll see what GFS looks like soon. The only good news is that this system will be on the move quickly...much faster moving than most Winter storms. The bad news is, that when 2" per hour rates occur, the trees simply can't handle that much beyond 3 or 4 hours. Hopefully we end this event quickly.
Hey Gcocks31 what about Augusta through the midlands any chance?
This post was edited by BathGamecock 15 months ago
No soup for you
Ben Tanner said some northern counties MAY see a changeover late tonight.
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