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Hope tanner is right.
My house is right on hwy 25, Northern Gville, 10 minutes from the NC line. Looks like i'm getting some huh?
Fomerly known as Garnet&BlackAttack.
Gotta watch the sky. Gonna be hit or miss.
I'm "The Arrival of Joe" and I am the #1 Proponent of Cheating: Whatever It Takes To Get Eddie Goldman to Columbia, SC
George Strait-Entertainer of a Lifetime
See everyone in 2014.
Gonnabe below freezing every night this week. Except Friday when the rain comes.
Euro about to get going. Uscshane stay alert. May have something upstate for Friday.
ICE STROM possible for SC. A few models are showing ICE for the Upstate and Piedmont of NC with Snow in the mts and above, Im not buying it yet but here is a post from an outlet.
*****Canadian model also looks more like ECMWF with a moderately strong Winter storm as a low develops in the Tenn Valley and hits cold air damming on Friday. This model is much more agressive with the precip and lift than GFS. This would be a decent snowfalll for most of Virginia and northern NC, and up the Immediate coast, with significant icing in Upstate SC and central Piedmont NC, after getting its start in northern and eastern TN, and dropping some snow and sleet TN, KY.
Wx- Looking at all the new models coming in now, and only one remains to be seen: ECMWF (european). The new UKMET model also leans toward ECMWF and Canadian runs in a significant system. In fact UKMET digs the energy so far west that it taps a lot of moisture and would be a MAJOR Winter storm from Upstate SC northward through Interior NC and almost all of Virginia with strong damming and a lot of moisture falling in the subfreezing air. Here's a look at UKMET model for Friday morning at the jetstream level (this is much more intense and dynamic than GFS). The energy to create this storm isn't on the West Coast yet, so when that feature gets sampled well in the models, we'll start to see all of them come into better agreement one way or the other.
Wx- New European run trends strongly toward GFS in lower precip amounts...not surprised since this is a fast moving System on Friday, and coming from the Northwest, it's similar to a clipper and somewhat moisture limited. A blend of GFS and ECMWF would still give significant snow to ne TN, all of Virginia, most of interior NC except maybe Southeast Coast, Upper SC sleet and brief snow. In the end, this will come down to how much moisture the system can squeeze out, not temps , since it's going to be pretty cold from the Carolinas northward. Moisture could be limited, with 1 to 3" snowfall probably common from northern Tn, eastern TN, most of Kentucky, much of NC, and all of Virginia.
Is this accurate for the none meteorologically inclined:
Snow Friday in most of NC except SE coast, TN, VA (1-3"). Possible sleet in upper part of SC?
Thanks in advance.
Life is short.... go no huddle
WxUpdated. The biggest question on this one will be how much moisture there is. All models have their ideas, if there is more digging west, then more overall precip. Right now ECMWF model looks about right, after it cut it's total amounts in HALF from the previous way-overdone amounts in NC, VA where the heart of the snow and sleet is coming. For upper sections just below the cold air, around northern Alabama and northern GA and central SC..there could be sleet to start the event. In between for middle Tn, to lower piedmont NC, and upstate SC, this area is the transition zone between all snow north, and sleet to rain south. As always ,there's plenty of time to track the trends on this (further east==>drier, further south==>wetter) In the end, it's a very stout clipper system, and areas north of the track will get accumulating snowfall.
IMHO, Clipper systems are our best bet around here. Smaller storms but they verify more often.
Anyone want freezing rain?
Ill take hail at this point.
Friday is going to be interesting. Another close call but could be bad ice if things come together. Particularly the further NW you go. I think upstate could get in on snow too.
I dont think the precip is going to be in this one. They get drier and drier following the GFS.
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